Atmospheric CO2 from fossil fuels and combustibles: analysis of the enrichment, the future predictability of it and the conclusions to be drawn
Abstract
In this study, I describe the eff ects of fossil fuel combustion, (which results CO2 concentration increase in the atmosphere) with the usage of the mathematical diff erential equation used in mine ventillation. By applying this method, I came to the conclusion, if in a short period of time (approx. 10 years) the emission would be reduced to 1/3 of the current level, atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentration would fall below 400 ppm and could be stabilized around 370 ppm in the longer
term. This way, hopefully, irreversible global warming processes would not trigger, which are threatening currently, because of the concentration is reaching to 500 ppm.
The fact that a signifi cant global warming has not yet occurred is due to the large terrestrial climate control systems, by the melting of the Antarctic ice caps that formed about 8 million years ago and the Arctic ice caps which formed 2 million years ago – with causing a latent heat sink of 79.4 kcal/kg of melting.
We are currently experiencing the most severe melting in recent times, about 420 billion tonnes of ice per year, of which about 280 billion tonnes came from the Arctic (Greenland). The present melting trend looks like that the ice will disappear from the Arctic within 10 years. Currently there is still 2.6 million km3 of ice in the Arctic and about 29 million km3 in the Antarctica. If we were to limit the use of fossil fuels now – hopefully in time – based on possible UN agreements, we would have a good chance of protecting the biosphere (and ourselves) and avoiding a global warming catastrophe.