Development of a 3D hydro- and thermodynamical model of Lake Balaton
Abstract
We aim to set up a well-validated hydro- and thermodynamic model for the large and shallow Lake Balaton, which can be used for analyzing transport processes, and later also for forecasting. In shallow lakes, wave-affected surface and bottom boundary layers can overlap during windy periods, resulting in complex flow and mixing conditions. In contrast, a weak thermal stratification can develop during calm periods, which typically breaks up during nighttime, resulting in a diurnal cycle. We applied the FVCOM model for numerical simulations and carried out current and temperature measurements at an offshore location and temperatures were recorded at onshore as well in the Keszthely basin. We force the model with a spatially varying wind field to incorporate the effect of internal boundary layer development over the water surface and the mesoscale variability. The former leads to an increasing wind stress along the fetch. We show that inhomogeneous wind forcing is essential to model water level fluctuations accurately around the lake and improve current directions in the middle of the Keszthely-basin. To reliably simulate the thermal structure besides currents, a sensitivity analysis is performed for model parameters, including air-water heat exchange parameters, light extinction coefficient, and the background mixing coefficient of the turbulence model. We compare modeled and observed currents, temperatures, and thermal structures using the potential energy anomaly for the latter one in the middle of the Keszthely-basin. The multi-objective calibration requires a large number of simulations covering a wide parameter space to find an optimal parameter set.
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